Build your organization's calibrated intelligence picture. Source-graded analysis, hypothesis testing, entity tracking, and calibrated forecasts — compounding across every question your team asks.
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Reliability-graded sources · every finding labeled with confidence
Sources Graded
A graded source corpus
Admiralty-framework reliability assessment
Confidence Calibrated
Every claim calibrated to evidence strength
View the public forecast recordLive from the platform
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HighThe US government has escalated AI compute governance from paper-based export licensing to active hardware tracking and model-level access controls, transforming what began as…
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Where traditional analysis falls short — and how Mapshock addresses each.
Every relevant source sits alongside hundreds of irrelevant ones. Without grading, analysis reflects whatever surfaced — not what matters.
Source grading ranks every input A–E before it reaches analysis.
Confirmation bias, anchoring, and mirror-imaging distort manual analysis without detection. The same patterns that corrupt judgment operate at the framing stage.
Automated hypothesis testing and counter-analysis run on every question.
Most analysis delivers conclusions with no explicit confidence level. A 90%-certain finding and a 55% guess look identical on the page.
Every finding carries a calibrated confidence label tied to evidence strength.
Conclusions appear fully formed, disconnected from the reasoning that produced them. There is no way to check the work.
Every conclusion links to a traceable evidence chain you can audit.
Each research effort starts from scratch. Entities, relationships, and patterns built up in one analysis never carry forward to the next.
Analysis compounds: entities, hypotheses, and forecasts persist and deepen.
Pipeline
Evidence Collection
24 sources across 8 categories
Sources
Validation Checks
How Mapshock builds calibrated intelligence: evidence collected, sources graded, claims validated against competing hypotheses.
Illustrating Mapshock's analytical methodology
Six outcomes. Thirty-five capabilities that deliver them.
Continuous monitoring of the entities, topics, and narratives you cannot afford to miss.
Set what matters to you — entities, topics, claims, source clusters. Mapshock surfaces material changes as they happen, with severity and recency stated. No daily scroll through irrelevant feeds; the signal comes to you.
Trace evidence across entities, claims, and time. Ask follow-ups. See the picture compound.
The Knowledge Map renders relationships across analyses; MARIA answers follow-ups with provenance. Hypothesis extraction surfaces competing explanations, not just the leading view. Every claim is traceable to graded sources.
Make your strongest case survive adversarial scrutiny — before the room does.
Red-team your strongest hypothesis. Run formal debates between competing positions. Score robustness across evidence dependency graphs. Fork the analysis to compare alternative paths side by side.
Probabilistic forecasts published with resolution dates. The track record is public — including the misses.
Predictions ship with explicit probabilities, resolution horizons, and confidence labels. Outcomes are tracked. The public track record shows calibration by confidence and horizon — including the forecasts we got wrong.
Decision-ready deliverables in your stakeholders' format — claims source-graded, confidence labeled.
Structured briefs in formats your board recognizes. Dossiers on entities and events compiled from accumulated research. Reusable playbooks for the analyses your team runs regularly. Every conclusion ships with its evidence chain.
Every conclusion traceable, sources scored, methods reusable. Your team's calibrated intelligence picture compounds.
Source grading captures what each domain has earned the right to claim. Provenance tracing maps every conclusion back through the evidence chain. Memory and skills preserve the analytical workflows that worked. Your dashboard surfaces what you set up to track.
Full reference for procurement + RFP teams
Define a strategic question or domain. The platform classifies scope, selects the right analytical approach, and begins building your intelligence picture.
Evidence collected from across the web, every source graded for reliability.
Structured methods applied across analytical domains. Sources weighted by reliability grade. Confidence calibrated on every finding.
Entities, relationships, hypotheses, and claims extracted automatically. Your calibrated intelligence picture deepens.
Monitor topics, test hypotheses, trace provenance. Forecasts resolve. The track record grows. The platform surfaces what matters next.
...and the cycle continues
Simulated analysis for demonstration
See how intelligence teams use Mapshock end-to-end, from incoming signal to source-graded brief.
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Built for strategic analysts, competitive intelligence teams, risk managers, and policy researchers.
What organizations ask us before deciding to work together.
Mapshock is a platform for building a calibrated intelligence picture. Source-graded analysis, hypothesis testing, entity tracking, and calibrated forecasts — every finding traceable to evidence, every conclusion labeled with confidence. Built for competitive, market, geopolitical, and threat analysis.
Traditional research firms deliver on a timeline of weeks and charge in the tens of thousands per deliverable. Mapshock delivers source-graded, calibrated analysis in minutes, with every finding traceable to evidence and every conclusion labeled with confidence. You can re-run an analysis as new evidence arrives, and your calibrated intelligence picture compounds across every question your team asks.
Strategy teams for competitive and market analysis, security leaders for threat analysis, risk and operations teams for geopolitical and supply-chain risk, and executive leadership for briefings and situational awareness. Mapshock augments in-house intelligence teams and serves organizations without one.
Mapshock delivers research and analysis with source grading, hypothesis testing, and confidence calibration. Available on demand, without standing up a dedicated research desk. For organizations with existing research teams, Mapshock accelerates the work those teams already do, particularly on source grading, competing-hypothesis testing, and confidence calibration.
Every analysis goes through automated quality checks, including blind spot detection, source validation, confidence calibration, and structured counter-analysis, before you see it. Structured analytic techniques from the calibrated intelligence practice are applied automatically.
Mapshock covers analytical domains including geopolitics, cybersecurity, finance, technology, energy, defense, supply-chain, and climate — calibrated against outcomes via a public track record. Sources are drawn from a graded corpus of news, government data, peer-reviewed research, and think-tank publications.
Source-graded analysis, hypothesis testing, entity tracking, and calibrated forecasts — available to your team on demand.
Currently in early access